11
Louisiane Leman
5yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 11
Toulouse · Prix Jean-pierre Sie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Vincennes | F Nivard | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Vincennes | F Nivard | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Vincennes | F Nivard | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laval | T Bertho | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-04-04 | Vincennes | E Raffin | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-19 | Argentan | E Raffin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2024 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 38% | -0.56 |
| 21/01/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 14/02/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 28/02/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 90% | -0.06 |
| 19/03/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 90% | -0.05 |
| 07/11/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 25/11/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/12/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 01/01/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 31% | -0.17 |