4
Lovalie Roc
5yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 4
Toulouse · Prix Jean-pierre Sie - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#13
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Toulouse | T Bord | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Toulouse | T Bord | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-11-13 | Toulouse | M Abrivard | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-20 | Toulouse | M P Marie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2024 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |
| 13/11/2024 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 15/01/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 07/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |