10
Larre
5yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 10
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
50%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | Ch Bouteiller | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | Ch Bouteiller | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-19 | Hyeres | Pierrick Le Moel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Chartres | S Roger | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-16 | Reims | F Desmigneux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-07 | Amiens | F Ouvrie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2024 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/05/2024 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 24/06/2024 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 28/08/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/10/2024 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/03/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/04/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |