12
Last Knight Maybe
5yo Colt · 0-0 · Draw 12
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#6
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Toulouse | J Asselie | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-10-11 | Toulouse | J Asselie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Toulouse | J Asselie | 7 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-07-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | J Asselie | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Vichy | S Peltier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-05 | Vichy | J Asselie | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 2-15 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 12/02/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 14/07/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 11/10/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |