6

Leader De Choisel
5yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 6
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#13
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 8.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Les Sables | K Busnel | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | Y Lebourgeois | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | M Mottier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-26 | Nancy | F Ouvrie | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | K Busnel | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-20 | Les Sables | V M Morin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -19.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 20/10/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 19/10/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |