8
Leaving New York
5yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 8
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | M Grasset | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-07-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | Th Prudhon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-01-16 | Toulouse | P Gesret | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-01-10 | Toulouse | P Gesret | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-20 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | P Gesret | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +55.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2025 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |