11
Lef De Thabe
5yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 11
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#14
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | Th Ducos | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-06-11 | Vichy | Th Ducos | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-20 | Reims | Ph Daugeard | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 13-16 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -26.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/06/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 16/12/2025 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |