9
Lissandro D'arc
5yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 9
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.4
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | Cedric Terry | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | F Lagadeuc | 6 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | F Desmigneux | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | F Desmigneux | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | F Desmigneux | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-28 | Angers | M Abrivard | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 05/06/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 11% | -0.65 |
| 02/07/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.27 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 16/05/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 23% | -0.58 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |