4
Lover Ademma
5yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 4
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#15
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | A Andre | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Caen | R Vilault | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Amiens | T Ouvrie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-12-16 | Le Mans | L Gelormini | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-05-20 | Reims | E Raffin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +24.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2024 | 7th | 4/7 | 97% | 25% | -0.72 |
| 16/12/2024 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 09/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 27/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |