Lucky Des Gaudines
5yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 13
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Toulouse | M Daougabel | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | F Prioul | 5 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | F Prioul | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2025-10-15 | Cabourg | F Lagadeuc | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Caen | A Barrier | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-29 | Craon | F Prioul | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 07/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 62% | +0.06 |
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 10/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 29/09/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.14 |
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 09/04/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |