1
Lupin Des Sources
5yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 1
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | F Clozier | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | M Hanquier | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Toulouse | M Grasset | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-03 | Toulouse | M Grasset | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Marseille | M Grasset | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | C Gazengel | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +12.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 03/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |