15
Lutteur Du Rieu
5yo Colt · 0-0 · Draw 15
Toulouse · Prix Victor Bermes - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#10
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | Toulouse | M Gergouil | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Agen | M Gergouil | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Toulouse | M Gergouil | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Toulouse | M Gergouil | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Toulouse | T Bord | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Salon-De-Provence | M Gergouil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 4-16 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2024 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 23/12/2024 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 02/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 09/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |