9
Matin D'avril
4yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 9
Toulouse · Prix Jonny Ruffato - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | Y Vidal | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-01-19 | Lyon La Soie | Th Briand | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Toulouse | Th Briand | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 16-16 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 19/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |