4
Mont Ventoux
4yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 4
Toulouse · Prix Jonny Ruffato - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Saint Galmier | Y A Briand | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | Y A Briand | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | E Briand | 6 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | Y A Briand | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-09 | Hyeres | E Briand | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Marseille-borely | E Briand | 6 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 7-15 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |
| 10/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 18/12/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 19/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/07/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |