5
Moriac
4yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 5
Toulouse · Prix Jonny Ruffato - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | C Gazengel | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-14 | Toulouse | C Gazengel | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-02 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | M Tijou | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength21%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |