2
Madison De Nimes
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 2
Toulouse · Prix Claude Amoros - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#16
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | N Julien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Hyeres | N Julien | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | N Julien | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | N Julien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Marseille-borely | N Julien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Hyeres | N Julien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 7-15 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/05/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 13/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 17/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |