14
Maldive De Tillard
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 14
Toulouse · Prix Claude Amoros - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#4
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Toulouse | M Auvray | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | M Auvray | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | M Auvray | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Toulouse | M Auvray | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-30 | Vichy | Mme S Jaulneau-sarrat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Vichy | Mme S Jaulneau-sarrat | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 8-16 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -9.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 26/05/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 30/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |