11
Malice Du Gers
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 11
Toulouse · Prix Claude Amoros - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.4
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | F Gence | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | F Gence | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | F Gence | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Argentan | F Gence | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Nantes | F Gence | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | F Gence | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength98%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 08/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 25/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 79% | +0.18 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |