15
Merci Madame
4yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 15
Toulouse · Prix Claude Amoros - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Toulouse | J Asselie | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | V Cabos | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-09-03 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | R Le Creps | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | J Asselie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | Axel Laigron | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Agen | J Asselie | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |