16

Naelie Du Guesclin

3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 16

Toulouse · Prix Jean Diebold - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Agen 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS20/064
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20AgenM Criado45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength10%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20265th10/147%67%+0.19