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8

Narnia Pan

3yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 8

Toulouse · Prix Jean Diebold - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#1

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

79%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 08/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 08/0263 @ Toulouse 19/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS19/0233 @ Toulouse 03/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS3/0432 @ Toulouse 10/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS10/042projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-10ToulouseX Decaudin25th1st+3
2026-04-03ToulouseX Decaudin36th4th+2
2026-02-19ToulouseAxel Laigron33rd1st+2
2026-02-08Bordeaux Le BouscatAxel Laigron61st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0219/023/0410/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 4-16 · tight 41/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -12.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
19/02/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
03/04/20266th11/142%29%-0.14
10/04/20265th40/10%56%+0.56