12
Narretepas Gio
3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 12
Toulouse · Prix Jean Diebold - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#2
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength18%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | V Foucault | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | L Goetz | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-07 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | R Le Creps | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-19 | Toulouse | Pierrick Le Moel | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2026-02-07 | Toulouse | M Criado | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Agen | Pierrick Le Moel | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 58/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 44% | -0.41 |