15
Navona Piazza
3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 15
Toulouse · Prix Jean Diebold - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#15
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | R Lamy | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | R Lamy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | R Lamy | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Cabourg | R Lamy | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 16-16 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -50.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |