Nikita De Lapenche
3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 10
Toulouse · Prix Jean Diebold - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Toulouse | J Asselie | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | J Asselie | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | J Asselie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Toulouse | J m Lourtet | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |