14
Nutsy Du Coq
3yo Filly · 0-0 · Draw 14
Toulouse · Prix Jean Diebold - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#13
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C11.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -6.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Toulouse | Mlle P Beluze | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | Mlle P Beluze | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | F Lagadeuc | 18 | 4th | 20th | −13 |
| 2026-03-02 | Le Croise-Laroche | J Condette | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |