1
Constellation Walk
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 115
Uttoxeter · Kalahari King 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Chase (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 214y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Exeter | Bryan Carver | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Taunton | Bryan Carver | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Wincanton | Rex Dingle | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Newbury | Bryan Carver | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Sandown | Bryan Carver | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-15 | Fontwell | Rex Dingle | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 3. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2024 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 15/05/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 09/11/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 16/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.46 |
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 17/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |