
Hold The Serve
6yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 130
Uttoxeter · Kalahari King 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Chase (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 214y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/6
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Perth | S Bowen | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | S Bowen | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Kempton | S Bowen | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Market Rasen | Lewis Saunders | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-16 | Wincanton | S Bowen | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Cheltenham | S Bowen | 2 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 3. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 11th | 13/8 | 91% | 23% | -0.68 |
| 16/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 81% | -0.02 |
| 15/10/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |