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4

Seven Kites

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful on sole outing in points. Made an encouraging hurdling debut when second at Chepstow in April but didn't look the most straightforward at times when a well-held fourth of 7 in novice hurdle there (3m, good to soft) 21 days ago. Visor goes on for the first time now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 02/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m7f131y Goo 1492/0444 @ Chepstow 09/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m7f131y Goo 1509/104projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09ChepstowStan Sheppard44th4th0
2026-04-02ChepstowStan Sheppard42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/049/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -32.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/04/20262nd15/890%83%-0.07
09/10/20264th2/189%50%-0.39