IvyArcIvyArc
1

Taranis Dubh

5yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 122

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/9

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won sole start in Irish points. Tongue tied for first time (retained) and still looked a work in progress when landing 12-runner novice hurdle at Worcester (2m, good to soft) 23 days ago. Has more to offer, especially over this longer trip. The one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newton Abbot 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m167y Goo 15814/0444 @ Warwick 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m Gd 1599/0544 @ Worcester 07/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 2m Goo 1587/104projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-07WorcesterS Bowen41st1st0
2026-05-09WarwickG Sheehan42nd2nd0
2026-04-14Newton AbbotS Bowen43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/049/057/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/20263rd10/1195%71%-0.24
09/05/20262nd11/1094%86%-0.09
07/10/20261st4/696%100%+0.04