5

Knight Crossing

5yo Mare · 11-6

Uttoxeter · Support The Royal British Legion Poppy Appeal Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 168y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Order of St George mare has shaped well when placed in bumpers at Uttoxeter (2m) and Fontwell (2¼) in the spring. Can't be dismissed starting out in this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Uttoxeter 14/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m7f168y Sft 15614/0345 @ Fontwell 06/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m1f162y Gd 1496/055projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-06FontwellHarry Bannister52nd3rd−1
2026-03-14UttoxeterJames Bowen43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/036/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -31.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45
06/05/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14