12
Merry Wood
4yo Filly · 11-5
Uttoxeter · Support The Royal British Legion Poppy Appeal Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 1m 7f 168y
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Huntingdon | S Bowen | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Angers | A Bourgeais | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-17 | Moulins | A Bourgeais | ? | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -40.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |