9

Diamond Koda

7yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 109

Uttoxeter · Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y

#10

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Consistent sort who deservedly opened his account in 19f handicap at Doncaster in February. Not at his best when third of 6 in novice hurdle at Newcastle (2½m, good) in April but the sort to bounce back here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Catterick 22/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 108 · 2m3f66y Goo 168 · below its mark22/01/2025 · OR 108 par22/014OR 1084 @ Doncaster 19/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 109 · 2m3f88y Goo 168 · below its mark19/02/2025 · OR 109 par4 @ Haydock 19/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 108 · 2m2f191y Gd 156 · below its mark19/03/2025 · OR 108 par19/034OR 1084 @ Fakenham 21/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 107 · 2m4f1y Gd 162 · below its mark21/04/2025 · OR 107 par4 @ Southwell 25/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 107 · 2m4f88y GS 159 · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 107 par25/114OR 1074 @ Doncaster 13/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 106 · 3m84y Goo 159 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 106 par5 @ Doncaster 27/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 105 · 2m3f88y Goo 168 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 105 par27/025OR 1053 @ Newbury 21/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 113 · 2m2f183y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 113 par4 @ Newcastle 11/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 111 · 2m4f62y Gd 159 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 111 par11/044OR 111projClass-projected finish: 9th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-11NewcastleTom Midgley43rd3rd0
2026-03-21NewburyJames Bowen35th4th+1
2026-02-27DoncasterTom Broughton51st2nd−1
2025-12-13DoncasterCharlie Hammond45th5th0
2025-11-25SouthwellCharlie Hammond44th4th0
2025-04-21FakenhamTom Broughton42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0121/0427/0211/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 74/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength11%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/01/20253rd5/174%82%+0.08
19/02/20252nd11/486%86%+0.00
19/03/20252nd2/189%75%-0.14
21/04/20252nd10/1195%67%-0.29
25/11/20254th7/163%25%-0.38
13/12/20255th6/168%50%-0.18
27/02/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
21/03/20265th8/158%50%-0.08
11/04/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26