8
Eustace Grenier
5yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 109
Uttoxeter · Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Worcester | Lewis Stones | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Worcester | K Brogan | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Perth | Jack Tudor | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Huntingdon | Lewis Saunders | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Windsor | S Bowen | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-11-14 | Southwell | Lewis Stones | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 63% | -0.30 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 07/10/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |