Gentleman Bill
8yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 115
Uttoxeter · Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Perth | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Bangor-on-Dee | Toby Wynne | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Haydock | Craig Nichol | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Doncaster | Craig Nichol | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Wetherby | Craig Nichol | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Haydock | Craig Nichol | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 01/03/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 22/03/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |