15
Inishnabro
7yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 105
Uttoxeter · Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | Doncaster | Lee Edwards | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-17 | Southwell | Lee Edwards | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-26 | Market Rasen | Lee Edwards | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-12-03 | Southwell | Lee Edwards | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-11-14 | Market Rasen | Lee Edwards | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 15-15 · tight 85/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -19.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 03/12/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 26/12/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 17/03/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |