Kosasiempre
8yo Mare · 11-6 · OR 107
Uttoxeter · Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Chepstow | Charlie Hammond | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Newbury | Charlie Hammond | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Newbury | Murray Dodd | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Hereford | Charlie Hammond | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-11 | Hereford | Charlie Hammond | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Chepstow | Charlie Hammond | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2024 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 07/03/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 17/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 10/10/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |