6
Las Canals
5yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 113
Uttoxeter · Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Bangor-on-Dee | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Sedgefield | Craig Nichol | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Hereford | Craig Nichol | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-11-11 | Compiegne | T Beaurain | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-09 | Argentan | M Delalande | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2024 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 11/11/2024 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 10/12/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 10/03/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |