16
No Hard Feelings
6yo Gelding · 10-13 · OR 100
Uttoxeter · Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#15
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Chepstow | G Sheehan | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Fairyhouse | Dylan O'Connor | ? | 11th | 16th | −4 |
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | Paddy Hanlon | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2025-11-27 | Taunton | Paddy Hanlon | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength44%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 29/12/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/01/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 09/10/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |