Sir Hobnob
5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 115
Uttoxeter · Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 | Ludlow | Sam Twiston-Davies | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Newbury | Toby McCain-Mitchell | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Leicester | Sam Twiston-Davies | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Stratford | Sam Twiston-Davies | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-26 | Worcester | Sam Twiston-Davies | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Bangor-on-Dee | Jamie Brace | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 12/04/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 69% | -0.12 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 18/02/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |