A Dublin Job
9yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 83
Uttoxeter · Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Uttoxeter | James Best | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Uttoxeter | James Best | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Stratford | Cameron Johnstone-Baker | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-15 | Market Rasen | Cameron Johnstone-Baker | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Uttoxeter | Cameron Johnstone-Baker | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | James Best | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 04/10/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |