Colby Mayfield
6yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 82
Uttoxeter · Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#11
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Ffos Las | Sam Twiston-Davies | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-26 | Chepstow | Ellis Collier | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Stratford | Ellis Collier | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Chepstow | Lorcan Williams | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Newbury | Lorcan Williams | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-12-18 | Exeter | Ellis Collier | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 14/01/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 13/02/2026 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |