3
Kally Des Bruyeres
6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 93
Uttoxeter · Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Worcester | J J Burke | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Worcester | J J Burke | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Hereford | Charlie Maggs | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-05 | Market Rasen | Charlie Maggs | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Taunton | Thomas Bellamy | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Huntingdon | Thomas Bellamy | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 31/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 12/10/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |