Kaproyale
11yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Uttoxeter · Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-20 | Worcester | Mr James King | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Worcester | Mr James King | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Stratford | Mr James King | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Stratford | Liam Harrison | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-12-26 | Sedgefield | Mr James King | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2024-05-31 | Stratford | Mr Charlie Case | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2023 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 29/01/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 22/04/2024 | 5th | 8/11 | 96% | 20% | -0.76 |
| 31/05/2024 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 26/12/2024 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/03/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 01/07/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/08/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |