9
Kaviar Wood
6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 83
Uttoxeter · Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Hereford | Conor Ring | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-25 | Sedgefield | Conor Ring | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Sedgefield | Conor Ring | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Sedgefield | B S Hughes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Hereford | Conor Ring | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Fontwell | Conor Ring | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 69/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -14.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/10/2025 | 7th | 300/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/11/2025 | 4th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 25/01/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |