Midnight View
6yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 90
Uttoxeter · Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Huntingdon | Stan Sheppard | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Warwick | Ned Fox | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Ludlow | Stan Sheppard | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Warwick | Stan Sheppard | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Taunton | Stan Sheppard | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Windsor | Brendan Powell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/03/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/12/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 01/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 06/10/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |