Soldier In Mayo
6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 93
Uttoxeter · Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Chase · 2m 4f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Hexham | Theo Gillard | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Bangor-on-Dee | Theo Gillard | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Bangor-on-Dee | B S Hughes | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Sedgefield | Theo Gillard | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-03-13 | Hexham | Theo Gillard | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Musselburgh | B S Hughes | 2 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 02/02/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/03/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 03/04/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 17/05/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 02/10/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |