Ample Warning
6yo Mare · 11-6 · OR 92
Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Hereford | Jack Hogan | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Warwick | J J Burke | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-12-17 | Ludlow | J J Burke | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-04-18 | Cheltenham | C Gethings | 2 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2024 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 17/12/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |