6
Cawthorne Banker
8yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 90
Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Fontwell | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Uttoxeter | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Uttoxeter | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Worcester | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength56%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 17/03/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/08/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 17% | -0.39 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 15/10/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |