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8

Coup De Gold

10yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 80

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#6

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Capitalised on career-low mark when narrowly winning a weak Newton Abbot handicap on return in June (17f). Never landed a blow in a bigger field event there (2¼m) the following month. Veteran may again find this too competitive on return.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hereford 12/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 2m53y Goo 148 · beat its mark12/11/2024 · OR 84 par12/115OR 845 @ Fontwell 26/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 83 · 2m1f165y Sft 146 · below its mark26/12/2024 · OR 83 par5 @ Ffos Las 28/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 81 · 2m4f Hvy 150 · below its mark28/02/2025 · OR 81 par28/025OR 815 @ Ffos Las 06/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 80 · 2m4f Goo 148 · beat its mark06/05/2025 · OR 80 par5 @ Fontwell 10/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 81 · 2m5f164y Goo 157 · below its mark10/06/2025 · OR 81 par10/065OR 815 @ Cartmel 21/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 81 · 2m6f31y Sft 149 · beat its mark21/07/2025 · OR 81 par5 @ Stratford 18/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 80 · 2m70y Goo 149 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 80 par18/105OR 805 @ Newton Abbot 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 78 · 2m167y Gd 157 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 78 par5 @ Newton Abbot 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 81 · 2m2f110y Goo 154 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 81 par13/075OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Newton AbbotMiss Eleanor Williams56th6th0
2026-06-12Newton AbbotMiss Eleanor Williams51st1st0
2025-10-18StratfordMiss Eleanor Williams57th7th0
2025-07-21CartmelMiss Eleanor Williams55th5th0
2025-06-10FontwellMiss Eleanor Williams54th4th0
2025-05-06Ffos LasMiss Eleanor Williams53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/116/0518/1013/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength22%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/11/20243rd3/184%60%-0.24
26/12/20245th11/142%20%-0.22
28/02/20255th15/261%43%-0.18
06/05/20253rd5/174%80%+0.06
10/06/20254th15/261%40%-0.21
21/07/20255th10/147%56%+0.08
18/10/20257th9/153%40%-0.13
12/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
13/07/20266th12/137%55%+0.18