5

Dino Bellagio

7yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 91

Uttoxeter · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle · 1m 7f 168y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

75%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Once-fairly useful bumper performer who disappointed as a novice hurdler in 2024/5. Form has regressed on the Flat lately. Hopes of a revival in this sphere are seemingly pinned on a recent breathing operation.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 10/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 73 · 2m46y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2025 · OR 73 par10/084OR 734 @ Kempton 06/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 72 · 1m7f218y Sta 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 72 par5 @ Chester 20/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 71 · 1m6f87y Hvy 139 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 71 par20/095OR 713 @ Haydock 17/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Nottingham 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 76 · 1m6f Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 76 par9/054OR 764 @ Chester 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m7f196y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 75 par5 @ Southwell 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m6f21y Std 142 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 73 par5/075OR 734 @ Chester 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m7f196y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 70 · 2m2f28y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 70 par12/094OR 70projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12MusselburghPierre-Louis Jamin47th6th+1
2026-08-22ChesterP Mulrennan47th6th+1
2026-07-05SouthwellD Nolan54th4th0
2026-06-13ChesterDavid Probert45th4th+1
2026-05-09NottinghamC J Whiteley43rd2nd+1
2025-10-17HaydockBilly Loughnane38th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0817/105/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 40/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength63%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20254th13/266%25%-0.41
06/09/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
20/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
17/10/20258th9/153%0%-0.53
09/05/20263rd11/486%33%-0.52
13/06/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
05/07/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
22/08/20267th13/266%25%-0.41
12/09/20267th25/10%0%0.00